Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Construction Employment Growth
Across Colorado Counties
Construction
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Construction
Employment Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.51%
2022 = 3.65%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of construction employment growth across all of Colorado's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the construction employment growth of Colorado's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Construction
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Construction
Employment Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.51%
2022 = 3.65%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Colorado as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual construction employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the construction employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term construction employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.51%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.51% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.51%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 14 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 36 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 20 counties whose most recent (2022) construction employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.65%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 30 counties whose construction employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.51% over 2010-2022 and 3.65% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual construction employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.51%) and near-term (3.65%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.51%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Colorado average (3.65%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual construction employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.51%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.65%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual construction employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.51%) and near-term (3.65%).
   
 
Summary of Colorado's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.65%)
Above
(3.65%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.51%)
8
6
14
Below
(2.51%)
22
14
36
 
30
20
50
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.51%
2022 = 3.65%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Colorado counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Colorado's average annual construction employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.51%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.65%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, just 6 (9%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.51%
2022 = 3.65%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 8 Colorado counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual construction employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.51%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.65%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 8 (13%) of Colorado's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.51%
2022 = 3.65%
This figure shows the distribution of the 14 Colorado counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual construction employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.51%), while they outpaced Colorado's average near-term (2022 = 3.65%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, 22% (14) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.51%
2022 = 3.65%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 22 Colorado counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual construction employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.51%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.65%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual construction employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
34% of Colorado's counties, 22 of 64, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Colorado
Construction Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
9
3.40
 
4
9.12
395
 
11
3.12
 
5
6.23
32,717
 
6
4.24
 
6
5.99
1,539
 
1
4.80
 
9
5.70
278
 
7
3.54
 
10
5.48
154
 
5
4.27
 
11
5.43
17,932
Slipping Counties
 
2
4.60
 
21
3.32
36,239
 
8
3.45
 
27
2.59
34,338
 
14
2.81
 
45
-0.64
2,651
 
13
2.84
 
32
2.21
14,574
 
12
3.03
 
25
2.75
28,725
 
3
4.55
 
51
-1.52
194
 
10
3.22
 
54
-4.14
394
 
4
4.27
 
43
-0.29
343
Gaining Counties
 
28
1.05
 
16
4.19
1,169
 
26
1.52
 
1
9.62
342
 
27
1.24
 
18
3.93
1,508
 
33
0.84
 
8
5.79
5,993
 
35
0.78
 
19
3.89
1,363
 
19
2.27
 
15
4.29
26,536
 
23
1.83
 
17
4.17
425
 
34
0.80
 
14
4.42
7,728
 
42
-0.48
 
13
4.53
1,038
 
24
1.79
 
3
9.37
3,023
 
22
1.91
 
2
9.57
6,375
 
49
-3.73
 
7
5.91
233
 
43
-0.61
 
12
5.08
455
 
47
-2.06
 
20
3.72
780
Lagging Counties
 
38
0.02
 
46
-0.70
571
 
29
1.04
 
23
3.10
9,570
 
18
2.35
 
31
2.28
1,389
 
17
2.37
 
26
2.60
316
 
30
1.02
 
38
1.74
1,348
 
37
0.26
 
30
2.32
4,935
 
21
1.96
 
44
-0.48
208
 
25
1.57
 
22
3.14
1,542
 
46
-1.69
 
36
1.96
156
 
39
-0.24
 
42
0.00
3,398
 
16
2.37
 
33
2.14
17,296
 
50
-4.40
 
35
1.97
362
 
41
-0.37
 
49
-1.01
589
 
40
-0.37
 
34
2.03
502
 
15
2.39
 
50
-1.27
1,090
 
44
-1.20
 
52
-1.79
383
 
32
0.89
 
48
-0.93
850
 
48
-2.80
 
47
-0.79
1,001
 
36
0.59
 
40
1.02
296
 
45
-1.23
 
29
2.46
2,120
 
20
2.10
 
24
3.10
233
 
31
0.94
 
41
0.43
2,309
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
37
1.82
56
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
55
-21.54
51
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
53
-3.28
59
 
U
U
 
S
S
102
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
39
1.56
65
 
U
U
 
28
2.47
994
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.51
 
3.65
279,748
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.83
 
4.15
11,867,800
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510400_LSGL
 
   
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