Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Farm Employment Growth
Across Colorado Counties
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 0.86%
2022 = 3.44%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of farm employment growth across all of Colorado's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the farm employment growth of Colorado's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 0.86%
2022 = 3.44%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Colorado as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual farm employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the farm employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term farm employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.86%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.86% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.86%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 39 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 25 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 27 counties whose most recent (2022) farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (3.44%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 37 counties whose farm employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.86% over 2010-2022 and 3.44% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.86%) and near-term (3.44%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.86%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Colorado average (3.44%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.86%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (3.44%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.86%) and near-term (3.44%).
   
 
Summary of Colorado's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(3.44%)
Above
(3.44%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.86%)
21
18
39
Below
(0.86%)
16
9
25
 
37
27
64
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 0.86%
2022 = 3.44%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Colorado counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Colorado's average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.86%) as well as near-term (2022 = 3.44%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, 18 (28%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 0.86%
2022 = 3.44%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 21 Colorado counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.86%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 3.44%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 21 (33%) of Colorado's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 0.86%
2022 = 3.44%
This figure shows the distribution of the 9 Colorado counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.86%), while they outpaced Colorado's average near-term (2022 = 3.44%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, only 14% (9) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Colorado
Farm Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
11
1.75
 
22
3.90
1,199
 
25
1.29
 
26
3.58
376
 
5
2.24
 
25
3.78
247
 
28
1.22
 
20
4.06
282
 
10
1.82
 
24
3.83
325
 
1
3.49
 
13
5.26
40
 
16
1.57
 
14
5.23
161
 
27
1.24
 
27
3.53
733
 
37
0.93
 
18
4.52
1,017
 
24
1.32
 
17
4.73
155
 
18
1.57
 
12
5.36
511
 
12
1.75
 
9
5.45
116
 
38
0.92
 
21
4.02
828
 
20
1.48
 
19
4.31
436
 
29
1.13
 
11
5.36
609
 
19
1.55
 
8
5.74
516
 
8
1.84
 
15
5.21
384
 
2
2.77
 
2
7.14
75
Slipping Counties
 
6
1.95
 
49
1.70
897
 
13
1.74
 
58
0.76
398
 
3
2.67
 
33
2.94
35
 
22
1.37
 
34
2.70
304
 
17
1.57
 
38
2.37
475
 
21
1.42
 
44
2.04
751
 
32
1.06
 
28
3.41
334
 
39
0.91
 
41
2.27
1,575
 
31
1.11
 
40
2.29
1,295
 
23
1.36
 
31
3.10
866
 
4
2.28
 
53
1.27
480
 
35
0.99
 
48
1.81
1,294
 
26
1.28
 
45
2.02
708
 
15
1.67
 
43
2.21
2,774
 
36
0.97
 
42
2.23
595
 
34
1.01
 
55
1.08
1,307
 
30
1.12
 
37
2.50
1,436
 
33
1.02
 
36
2.57
1,116
 
7
1.85
 
47
1.89
915
 
9
1.84
 
54
1.16
174
 
14
1.69
 
59
0.67
150
Gaining Counties
 
63
-0.55
 
16
5.00
1,303
 
57
0.03
 
3
7.08
635
 
48
0.57
 
10
5.38
470
 
56
0.07
 
1
10.00
22
 
44
0.64
 
6
5.88
18
 
46
0.61
 
5
6.31
1,465
 
40
0.83
 
23
3.90
773
 
50
0.53
 
7
5.88
6,180
 
47
0.61
 
4
6.85
1,576
Lagging Counties
 
42
0.74
 
39
2.31
884
 
58
0.00
 
61
0.00
0
 
51
0.40
 
51
1.40
218
 
45
0.62
 
60
0.66
304
 
43
0.70
 
57
0.95
1,490
 
62
-0.21
 
50
1.67
1,402
 
53
0.35
 
52
1.39
950
 
58
0.00
 
61
0.00
0
 
41
0.76
 
32
3.03
510
 
58
0.00
 
61
0.00
0
 
49
0.56
 
30
3.31
2,154
 
52
0.39
 
46
1.98
567
 
54
0.15
 
29
3.31
1,216
 
64
-1.11
 
56
0.97
208
 
58
0.00
 
61
0.00
0
 
55
0.09
 
35
2.59
992
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.86
 
3.44
49,226
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.17
 
-0.23
2,567,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_400000_LSGL
 
   
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