Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Earnings Growth
Across Colorado Counties
Real* Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2017 and 2017
Real* Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Earnings Growth
Colorado:
2010-2017 = 5.04%
2017 = 6.23%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth across all of Colorado's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth of Colorado's 64 counties over the latest available year (2017) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2017). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2017 and 2017
Real* Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Earnings Growth
Colorado:
2010-2017 = 5.04%
2017 = 6.23%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Colorado as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2017), and the horizontal axis representing the real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2017).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 5.04%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 5.04% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (5.04%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 13 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2017, while 21 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 11 counties whose most recent (2017) real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.23%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 23 counties whose real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth over 2017 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2017) and near-term (2017) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 5.04% over 2010-2017 and 6.23% over 2017:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (5.04%) and near-term (6.23%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.04%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Colorado average (6.23%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (5.04%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (6.23%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (5.04%) and near-term (6.23%).
   
 
Summary of Colorado's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(6.23%)
Above
(6.23%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(5.04%)
5
8
13
Below
(5.04%)
18
3
21
 
23
11
34
 
   
Leading Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Leading Counties
Colorado:
2010-2017 = 5.04%
2017 = 6.23%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Colorado counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Colorado's average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2017 = 5.04%) as well as near-term (2017 = 6.23%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate over 2010-2017.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, just 8 (13%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Slipping Counties
Colorado:
2010-2017 = 5.04%
2017 = 6.23%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 5 Colorado counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2017 = 5.04%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2017 = 6.23%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate over 2010-2017.
Only 5 (8%) of Colorado's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Gaining Counties
Colorado:
2010-2017 = 5.04%
2017 = 6.23%
This figure shows the distribution of the 3 Colorado counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2017 = 5.04%), while they outpaced Colorado's average near-term (2017 = 6.23%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate over 2010-2017.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, only 5% (3) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2017 vs. 2010-2017 Averages
Lagging Counties
Colorado:
2010-2017 = 5.04%
2017 = 6.23%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 18 Colorado counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2017 = 5.04%) as well as near-term (2017 = 6.23%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real professional, scientific, and technical services earnings growth rate over 2010-2017.
28% of Colorado's counties, 18 of 64, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Colorado
Real* Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2017
 
2017
 
 
Leading Counties
 
4
8.75
 
4
24.86
804,600
 
11
5.56
 
16
7.74
3,948,523
 
5
8.55
 
18
6.77
28,984
 
8
6.44
 
8
12.91
1,904,969
 
1
14.90
 
3
40.95
3,442
 
12
5.49
 
6
19.25
1,611
 
3
9.65
 
7
14.45
10,804
 
2
13.77
 
13
9.71
222,981
Slipping Counties
 
13
5.18
 
41
-2.41
716,598
 
9
6.05
 
22
6.09
7,684,479
 
7
7.20
 
35
1.45
11,110
 
10
5.70
 
36
1.43
94,769
 
6
7.50
 
24
5.04
302,748
Gaining Counties
 
22
2.42
 
9
12.66
19,029
 
27
1.43
 
21
6.28
15,603
 
14
5.03
 
19
6.43
1,291,920
Lagging Counties
 
31
-0.54
 
37
1.37
12,284
 
17
4.85
 
26
4.52
4,371,637
 
29
0.36
 
49
-43.19
296
 
21
2.52
 
23
5.39
149,069
 
20
2.75
 
27
4.46
2,701,141
 
23
2.39
 
38
0.32
115,686
 
16
4.87
 
46
-5.69
33,432
 
18
4.04
 
25
4.59
2,725,988
 
19
3.37
 
33
1.76
146,778
 
34
-6.18
 
32
1.80
9,167
 
30
0.00
 
29
3.30
185,641
 
28
0.54
 
42
-2.85
16,307
 
26
1.64
 
28
3.70
39,841
 
33
-3.58
 
44
-3.37
93,548
 
32
-0.89
 
45
-4.31
4,642
 
24
1.81
 
47
-13.35
73,971
 
25
1.69
 
39
0.22
35,300
 
15
5.03
 
30
2.74
3,906
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
20.05
455
 
U
U
 
S
S
458
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
10
11.85
4,275
 
U
U
 
12
10.53
19,652
 
U
U
 
1
90.49
501
 
U
U
 
14
9.21
33,189
 
U
U
 
20
6.32
19,978
 
U
U
 
40
-0.84
7,572
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
17
7.27
2,479
 
U
U
 
2
70.08
3,786
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,468
 
U
U
 
43
-2.99
6,838
 
U
U
 
31
2.30
356
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
11
10.84
12,118
 
U
U
 
15
8.21
19,342
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
48
-23.92
1,985
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
424
 
U
U
 
34
1.57
26,661
 
U
U
 
S
S
588
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.04
 
6.23
27,989,075
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.68
 
5.12
1,225,818,000
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611200_LSGL
 
   
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