Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Finance and Insurance Earnings Growth
Across Colorado Counties
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 5.32%
2022 = 6.33%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real finance and insurance earnings growth across all of Colorado's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real finance and insurance earnings growth of Colorado's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Finance and Insurance
Earnings Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 5.32%
2022 = 6.33%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Colorado as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real finance and insurance earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real finance and insurance earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 5.32%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 5.32% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (5.32%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 15 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 30 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 34 counties whose most recent (2022) real finance and insurance earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.33%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 11 counties whose real finance and insurance earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 5.32% over 2010-2022 and 6.33% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (5.32%) and near-term (6.33%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.32%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Colorado average (6.33%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (5.32%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (6.33%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (5.32%) and near-term (6.33%).
   
 
Summary of Colorado's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(6.33%)
Above
(6.33%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(5.32%)
2
13
15
Below
(5.32%)
9
21
30
 
11
34
45
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 5.32%
2022 = 6.33%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Colorado counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Colorado's average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.32%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.33%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, 13 (20%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 5.32%
2022 = 6.33%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 2 Colorado counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.32%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 6.33%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 2 (3%) of Colorado's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 5.32%
2022 = 6.33%
This figure shows the distribution of the 21 Colorado counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 5.32%), while they outpaced Colorado's average near-term (2022 = 6.33%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, 33% (21) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 5.32%
2022 = 6.33%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 9 Colorado counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 5.32%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.33%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real finance and insurance earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
14% of Colorado's counties, 9 of 64, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Colorado
Real* Finance and Insurance Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
8
7.63
 
25
14.30
419,770
 
4
12.83
 
4
69.01
68,693
 
3
12.96
 
18
23.07
350,478
 
12
6.10
 
26
14.09
6,150,393
 
2
13.17
 
2
105.57
82,661
 
14
5.42
 
6
58.39
12,229
 
13
5.92
 
11
39.47
1,523
 
10
6.35
 
12
37.39
16,370
 
11
6.18
 
9
43.26
9,083
 
1
30.63
 
7
56.94
75,394
 
9
6.81
 
35
9.69
4,448
 
5
11.25
 
19
18.14
61,443
 
7
9.00
 
15
29.47
22,341
Slipping Counties
 
6
10.32
 
47
-1.86
2,032,867
 
15
5.41
 
45
0.75
450,346
Gaining Counties
 
37
1.82
 
22
16.93
8,521
 
27
3.37
 
31
11.71
19,517
 
30
2.60
 
13
36.14
16,610
 
23
3.86
 
10
40.83
22,309
 
24
3.74
 
37
6.41
68,421
 
39
1.43
 
24
16.03
8,937
 
45
-1.07
 
30
11.96
1,086
 
26
3.38
 
17
23.46
10,047
 
16
5.21
 
29
12.56
122,559
 
40
1.25
 
28
13.62
10,672
 
41
1.17
 
27
13.99
13,940
 
36
1.92
 
23
16.76
20,749
 
25
3.59
 
33
10.23
3,471
 
35
2.12
 
16
26.46
3,910
 
33
2.38
 
34
9.69
14,382
 
28
3.05
 
20
18.14
114,538
 
42
1.04
 
38
6.41
8,137
 
18
4.96
 
32
11.66
14,765
 
21
4.47
 
14
31.60
37,446
 
29
2.73
 
21
18.14
336,100
 
19
4.87
 
8
47.01
15,661
Lagging Counties
 
22
4.19
 
46
-0.61
3,909,635
 
20
4.49
 
42
2.38
751,621
 
17
4.99
 
48
-2.07
1,473,166
 
44
0.49
 
39
4.36
11,370
 
32
2.40
 
43
2.31
835,346
 
34
2.35
 
40
4.13
4,313
 
31
2.46
 
49
-7.57
196,611
 
38
1.49
 
41
3.09
27,342
 
43
0.96
 
44
1.39
13,347
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
61.15
2,124
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
1
114.07
289
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,534
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
3
90.51
3,694
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
36
8.10
2,923
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.32
 
6.33
17,884,306
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.33
 
3.00
1,078,856,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611000_LSGL
 
   
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