Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Retail Trade Earnings Growth
Across Colorado Counties
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 4.63%
2022 = 5.84%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real retail trade earnings growth across all of Colorado's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real retail trade earnings growth of Colorado's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Retail Trade
Earnings Growth
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 4.63%
2022 = 5.84%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Colorado as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real retail trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real retail trade earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.63%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.63% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.63%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 0 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 0 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 0 counties whose most recent (2022) real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.84%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 0 counties whose real retail trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.63% over 2010-2022 and 5.84% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.63%) and near-term (5.84%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.63%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Colorado average (5.84%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.63%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (5.84%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.63%) and near-term (5.84%).
   
 
Summary of Colorado's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(5.84%)
Above
(5.84%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.63%)
0
0
0
Below
(4.63%)
0
0
0
 
0
0
0
 
   
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 4.63%
2022 = 5.84%
This figure shows the distribution of the 7 Colorado counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.63%), while they outpaced Colorado's average near-term (2022 = 5.84%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real retail trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, only 11% (7) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Colorado
Real* Retail Trade Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
25
4.69
 
22
6.87
40,531
 
17
5.21
 
5
9.70
1,058,464
 
7
6.47
 
17
7.34
78,288
 
6
6.60
 
9
8.81
8,050
 
13
5.44
 
14
7.66
26,336
 
16
5.32
 
24
6.72
1,808,252
 
26
4.67
 
29
6.01
47,768
 
5
6.76
 
6
9.58
14,973
 
1
12.80
 
16
7.51
3,664
 
11
5.70
 
10
8.78
16,170
 
23
4.79
 
3
11.51
10,568
 
20
4.97
 
26
6.09
1,005,008
 
8
6.16
 
15
7.52
40,753
 
18
5.03
 
18
7.31
55,754
 
2
7.63
 
2
20.41
24,311
 
9
5.87
 
20
7.12
6,453
 
22
4.80
 
23
6.80
118,343
 
4
7.00
 
8
9.12
39,601
 
12
5.52
 
13
7.76
45,876
 
3
7.36
 
25
6.36
653,511
Slipping Counties
 
15
5.33
 
39
5.02
2,063,697
 
21
4.86
 
55
2.85
3,389
 
10
5.86
 
33
5.47
11,213
 
14
5.39
 
30
5.80
1,970,195
 
19
4.99
 
51
3.51
949,749
 
24
4.70
 
41
4.92
405,777
Gaining Counties
 
59
-1.71
 
21
7.10
2,352
 
45
2.61
 
4
11.14
12,276
 
46
2.60
 
27
6.07
2,448
 
27
4.61
 
7
9.13
3,192
 
30
4.45
 
19
7.19
470,264
 
58
-1.54
 
28
6.06
7,260
 
50
1.45
 
11
8.58
7,292
Lagging Counties
 
29
4.46
 
37
5.29
1,136,564
 
47
2.56
 
58
2.59
51,059
 
51
1.29
 
61
-0.25
5,122
 
54
-0.09
 
43
4.80
184,369
 
38
3.34
 
49
3.70
3,564
 
44
2.64
 
44
4.77
55,425
 
31
4.24
 
31
5.57
247,498
 
34
3.86
 
38
5.09
75,559
 
48
2.48
 
45
4.47
178,253
 
32
4.21
 
46
3.97
47,930
 
37
3.57
 
34
5.46
1,576,958
 
43
2.71
 
59
2.28
165,541
 
40
3.02
 
48
3.88
12,281
 
57
-1.52
 
42
4.86
60,475
 
39
3.34
 
47
3.90
39,281
 
36
3.58
 
57
2.67
68,774
 
35
3.82
 
40
4.95
120,485
 
42
2.94
 
36
5.31
30,461
 
55
-0.44
 
54
2.86
10,879
 
56
-0.67
 
50
3.60
26,078
 
49
2.26
 
56
2.69
16,288
 
28
4.53
 
32
5.55
105,419
 
41
2.94
 
53
3.38
5,328
 
53
0.07
 
60
0.00
2,602
 
33
4.15
 
35
5.38
147,318
 
52
0.85
 
52
3.48
20,149
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
12
7.80
2,944
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
1
29.45
1,424
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.63
 
5.84
15,419,077
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.97
 
3.04
861,699,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610700_LSGL
 
   
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