Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Diagnosing Employment Growth
Across Colorado Counties
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Employment Growth by County
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.19%
2022 = 4.99%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of employment growth across all of Colorado's 64 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the employment growth of Colorado's 64 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Employment Growth by County
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Employment Growth by County
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.19%
2022 = 4.99%
This figure displays the 64 counties of Colorado as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 2.19%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 2.19% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (2.19%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 13 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 51 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 18 counties whose most recent (2022) employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.99%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 46 counties whose employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 64 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 2.19% over 2010-2022 and 4.99% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are the seven counties whose average annual employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (2.19%) and near-term (4.99%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are the six counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (2.19%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Colorado average (4.99%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are the eleven counties whose long-term average annual employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (2.19%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.99%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are the forty counties whose average annual employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (2.19%) and near-term (4.99%).
   
 
Summary of Colorado's 64 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.99%)
Above
(4.99%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(2.19%)
6
7
13
Below
(2.19%)
40
11
51
 
46
18
64
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.19%
2022 = 4.99%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Colorado counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Colorado's average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.19%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.99%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2022 as noted in the table below.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, just 7 (11%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.19%
2022 = 4.99%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 6 Colorado counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.19%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.99%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 6 ( 9%) of Colorado's 64 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.19%
2022 = 4.99%
This figure shows the distribution of the 11 Colorado counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 2.19%), while they outpaced Colorado's average near-term (2022 = 4.99%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Colorado's 64 counties, 17% (11) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Colorado:
2010-2022 = 2.19%
2022 = 4.99%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 40 Colorado counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 2.19%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.99%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
63% of Colorado's counties, 40 of 64, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
NOTE: Click on any county name to highlight its position in the chart above.
   
 
Colorado
Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
6
2.90
 
5
6.75
58,497
 
7
2.72
 
3
7.34
758,454
 
1
3.43
 
14
5.42
231,621
 
3
3.16
 
6
6.75
11,785
 
13
2.21
 
12
5.54
3,927
 
9
2.55
 
17
5.04
261,704
 
5
2.92
 
15
5.30
176,574
Slipping Counties
 
2
3.43
 
20
4.98
329,269
 
10
2.53
 
38
3.82
14,779
 
8
2.56
 
51
2.70
1,828
 
12
2.37
 
31
4.24
1,303
 
11
2.52
 
19
4.98
4,425
 
4
3.13
 
45
3.43
723
Gaining Counties
 
17
1.96
 
18
5.02
294,092
 
16
2.04
 
1
7.81
5,537
 
22
1.69
 
11
5.78
2,709
 
57
-0.16
 
2
7.52
5,716
 
28
1.27
 
7
6.37
919
 
21
1.74
 
13
5.52
6,819
 
30
1.18
 
4
6.85
26,501
 
60
-0.55
 
8
6.17
4,541
 
29
1.20
 
10
6.04
25,356
 
19
1.81
 
9
6.15
9,825
 
20
1.79
 
16
5.24
31,450
Lagging Counties
 
36
0.96
 
27
4.29
11,859
 
14
2.19
 
41
3.79
496,247
 
18
1.92
 
40
3.79
9,523
 
53
0.18
 
53
2.52
2,684
 
61
-0.58
 
33
4.11
1,977
 
43
0.69
 
54
2.52
1,669
 
26
1.52
 
44
3.55
3,648
 
62
-0.58
 
63
-2.24
1,658
 
48
0.47
 
55
2.46
16,445
 
24
1.61
 
23
4.54
51,613
 
15
2.12
 
32
4.21
472,505
 
44
0.68
 
58
1.63
21,302
 
45
0.64
 
48
3.34
41,535
 
39
0.91
 
34
3.98
11,982
 
25
1.53
 
37
3.83
15,131
 
51
0.32
 
21
4.98
654
 
56
-0.12
 
62
0.59
3,418
 
41
0.74
 
29
4.28
1,122
 
23
1.66
 
30
4.25
375,570
 
46
0.50
 
60
1.19
1,277
 
49
0.41
 
35
3.93
5,262
 
38
0.95
 
24
4.44
42,622
 
63
-0.60
 
52
2.66
7,882
 
47
0.47
 
59
1.59
3,574
 
59
-0.21
 
57
2.38
12,495
 
37
0.95
 
46
3.43
97,302
 
64
-0.81
 
61
1.17
7,264
 
42
0.69
 
56
2.44
15,514
 
33
1.06
 
36
3.86
26,613
 
31
1.14
 
43
3.64
18,067
 
55
-0.05
 
50
3.13
9,386
 
35
1.02
 
26
4.39
3,065
 
54
0.18
 
25
4.43
7,192
 
32
1.08
 
49
3.28
85,922
 
52
0.27
 
42
3.71
7,018
 
27
1.49
 
28
4.29
3,451
 
58
-0.17
 
64
-2.47
1,423
 
34
1.04
 
22
4.75
13,195
 
50
0.35
 
47
3.36
2,891
 
40
0.88
 
39
3.81
7,633
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2.19
 
4.99
4,187,944
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.58
 
4.78
212,442,000
November 2024
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_LSGL
 
   
Copyright © 2024. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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