Lincoln County vs. Colorado
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Lincoln County:
2017 Population = 5,546
2017 Percent of State = 0.1%
Colorado:
2017 Population = 5,607,154
2017 Percent of State = 1.7%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Lincoln County with comparisons to Colorado and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Lincoln County vs. Colorado's population growth over 1969-2017. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 1.
Figure 1 tracks Lincoln County's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Lincoln County's population rose from 4,674 in 1969 to 5,546 in 2017, for a net gain of 872, or 18.7%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 tracks Colorado's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Colorado's population rose from 2,166,000 in 1969 to 5,607,154 in 2017, for a net gain of 3,441,154, or 158.9%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Lincoln County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Colorado, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Lincoln County's overall population growth was 18.7% over 1969-2017 trailed Colorado's increase of 158.9%, and fell below the United States' increase of 61.8%.
Population as a Percent of the Colorado Total: 1969-2017
Population as a Percent of the Colorado Total: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the population growth of Lincoln County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Colorado's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Colorado's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Lincoln County's population comprised 0.22% of Colorado's population, while in 2017 it comprised 0.10% thereby yielding a -0.12% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2017 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2017
vs.
1969
-0.12%
=
0.10%
-
0.22%
 
   
Lincoln County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Lincoln County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 shows the short-run pattern of Lincoln County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Lincoln County's population grew at an annual rate of 0.40% over 1970-2017. The county posted its highest growth in 1991 (11.85%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1978 (-4.05%). In 2017, Lincoln County's population declined by -0.29%
Lincoln County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Lincoln County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Lincoln County's population since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Lincoln County's annual population growth rate averaged -0.22%. It averaged 0.13% during the 1980s, 2.92% in the 1990s, -1.16% in the 2000s, and 0.28% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Lincoln County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Colorado and the nation. As the chart reveals, Lincoln County's average annual population growth amounted to less than Colorado's average in the 1970s (-0.22% vs. 2.78%), fell below Colorado's average throughout the 1980s (0.13% vs. 1.41%), outperformed Colorado's average throughout the 1990s (2.92% vs. 2.58%), fell below Colorado's average throughout the 2000s (-1.16% vs. 1.64%), and recorded under Colorado's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (0.28% vs. 1.51%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Lincoln County posted below the nation during the 1970s (-0.22% vs. 1.10%), posted below the nation over the 1980s (0.13% vs. 0.95%), led the nation throughout the 1990s (2.92% vs. 1.23%), fell below the nation in the 2000s (-1.16% vs. 0.95%), and recorded underneath the nation over 2010-2017 (0.28% vs. 0.75%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.40
-0.22
0.13
2.92
-1.16
0.28
-0.29
 
2.01
2.78
1.41
2.58
1.64
1.51
1.39
 
1.01
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.75
0.72
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Lincoln County:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
4,674
100.0
N
0.22
1970
 
4,870
104.2
4.19
0.22
1971
 
5,006
107.1
2.79
0.22
1972
 
4,957
106.1
-0.98
0.21
1973
 
4,840
103.6
-2.36
0.19
1974
 
4,886
104.5
0.95
0.19
1975
 
5,026
107.5
2.87
0.19
1976
 
4,927
105.4
-1.97
0.19
1977
 
4,769
102.0
-3.21
0.18
1978
 
4,576
97.9
-4.05
0.17
1979
 
4,557
97.5
-0.42
0.16
1980
 
4,642
99.3
1.87
0.16
1981
 
4,549
97.3
-2.00
0.15
1982
 
4,545
97.2
-0.09
0.15
1983
 
4,519
96.7
-0.57
0.14
1984
 
4,576
97.9
1.26
0.14
1985
 
4,648
99.4
1.57
0.14
1986
 
4,676
100.0
0.60
0.14
1987
 
4,661
99.7
-0.32
0.14
1988
 
4,598
98.4
-1.35
0.14
1989
 
4,612
98.7
0.30
0.14
1990
 
4,525
96.8
-1.89
0.14
1991
 
5,061
108.3
11.85
0.15
1992
 
5,616
120.2
10.97
0.16
1993
 
5,595
119.7
-0.37
0.15
1994
 
5,689
121.7
1.68
0.15
1995
 
5,749
123.0
1.05
0.15
1996
 
5,913
126.5
2.85
0.15
1997
 
5,978
127.9
1.10
0.15
1998
 
6,070
129.9
1.54
0.15
1999
 
6,097
130.4
0.44
0.14
2000
 
6,070
129.9
-0.44
0.14
2001
 
5,912
126.5
-2.60
0.13
2002
 
5,936
127.0
0.41
0.13
2003
 
5,904
126.3
-0.54
0.13
2004
 
5,751
123.0
-2.59
0.13
2005
 
5,644
120.8
-1.86
0.12
2006
 
5,530
118.3
-2.02
0.12
2007
 
5,484
117.3
-0.83
0.11
2008
 
5,468
117.0
-0.29
0.11
2009
 
5,423
116.0
-0.82
0.11
2010
 
5,473
117.1
0.92
0.11
2011
 
5,417
115.9
-1.02
0.11
2012
 
5,441
116.4
0.44
0.10
2013
 
5,436
116.3
-0.09
0.10
2014
 
5,507
117.8
1.31
0.10
2015
 
5,548
118.7
0.74
0.10
2016
 
5,562
119.0
0.25
0.10
2017
 
5,546
118.7
-0.29
0.10
Source: Calculations by the Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project (CO-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Colorado:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
2,166,000
100.0
N
1.08
1970
 
2,223,979
102.7
2.68
1.09
1971
 
2,303,502
106.3
3.58
1.11
1972
 
2,404,576
111.0
4.39
1.15
1973
 
2,495,803
115.2
3.79
1.18
1974
 
2,541,318
117.3
1.82
1.19
1975
 
2,586,144
119.4
1.76
1.20
1976
 
2,632,244
121.5
1.78
1.21
1977
 
2,696,007
124.5
2.42
1.23
1978
 
2,766,725
127.7
2.62
1.25
1979
 
2,849,181
131.5
2.98
1.27
1980
 
2,908,803
134.3
2.09
1.28
1981
 
2,977,899
137.5
2.38
1.30
1982
 
3,061,562
141.3
2.81
1.32
1983
 
3,133,634
144.7
2.35
1.34
1984
 
3,169,995
146.4
1.16
1.34
1985
 
3,208,726
148.1
1.22
1.35
1986
 
3,237,448
149.5
0.90
1.35
1987
 
3,260,477
150.5
0.71
1.35
1988
 
3,262,280
150.6
0.06
1.33
1989
 
3,275,815
151.2
0.41
1.33
1990
 
3,307,618
152.7
0.97
1.33
1991
 
3,387,119
156.4
2.40
1.34
1992
 
3,495,939
161.4
3.21
1.36
1993
 
3,613,734
166.8
3.37
1.39
1994
 
3,724,168
171.9
3.06
1.42
1995
 
3,826,653
176.7
2.75
1.44
1996
 
3,919,972
181.0
2.44
1.46
1997
 
4,018,293
185.5
2.51
1.47
1998
 
4,116,639
190.1
2.45
1.49
1999
 
4,226,018
195.1
2.66
1.51
2000
 
4,326,921
199.8
2.39
1.53
2001
 
4,425,687
204.3
2.28
1.55
2002
 
4,490,406
207.3
1.46
1.56
2003
 
4,528,732
209.1
0.85
1.56
2004
 
4,575,013
211.2
1.02
1.56
2005
 
4,631,888
213.8
1.24
1.57
2006
 
4,720,423
217.9
1.91
1.58
2007
 
4,803,868
221.8
1.77
1.59
2008
 
4,889,730
225.7
1.79
1.61
2009
 
4,972,195
229.6
1.69
1.62
2010
 
5,048,029
233.1
1.53
1.63
2011
 
5,116,411
236.2
1.35
1.64
2012
 
5,186,330
239.4
1.37
1.65
2013
 
5,262,556
243.0
1.47
1.66
2014
 
5,342,311
246.6
1.52
1.68
2015
 
5,440,445
251.2
1.84
1.69
2016
 
5,530,105
255.3
1.65
1.71
2017
 
5,607,154
258.9
1.39
1.72
Source: Calculations by the Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project (CO-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,338,421
153.7
0.84
2011
 
311,644,280
154.8
0.75
2012
 
313,993,272
156.0
0.75
2013
 
316,234,505
157.1
0.71
2014
 
318,622,525
158.3
0.76
2015
 
321,039,839
159.5
0.76
2016
 
323,405,935
160.7
0.74
2017
 
325,719,178
161.8
0.72
Source: Calculations by the Colorado Regional Economic Analysis Project (CO-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2019. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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